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POL Polsko - III Liga · Zápas ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích64%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
64% / 20% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (15.8%)Dvojitá šance1X84.2%1.19
Více 60% · Méně 40%Goals 2.5Více60%1.67
Ano 50% · Ne 50%Oba týmy skórujíNe50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Victoria Wrzesnia win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Domácí share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 60% · Méně 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Hosté share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 50% · Ne 50%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp výhra 64%,Remíza 20%,Victoria Wrzesnia výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Více 2.5 60% · Current selection Více