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POL Polonia - III Liga · Partido ·

Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local61%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WielkopolskaVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
61% / 21% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (18.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.9%1.22
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 50% · No 50%Ambos equipos marcanNo50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wielkopolska winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
Empate21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Victoria Wrzesnia win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska2.33

Local share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Visitante share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WielkopolskaVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska ganada 61%,Empate 21%,Victoria Wrzesnia ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de