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POL Полша - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Полония Срода Велкополска vs Виктория Вжешня

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина61%
Равен21%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония Срода ВелкополскаВиктория Вжешня
Expected goals3.12Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
61% / 21% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Виктория Вжешня win (18.1%)Двоен шанс1X81.9%1.22
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapПолония Срода Велкополска winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Срода Велкополска win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
Равен21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Виктория Вжешня win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Срода Велкополска2.33

Домакин share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Виктория Вжешня0.79

Гост share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Полония Срода Велкополска

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Виктория Вжешня

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Полония Срода ВелкополскаВиктория Вжешня
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Срода Велкополска signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Виктория Вжешня signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Полония Срода Велкополска vs Виктория Вжешня FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Срода Велкополска печеливш 61%,Равен 21%,Виктория Вжешня печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над