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POL Полша - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Ягиелония Бялисток 2 vs Вигри Сувалки

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина35%
Равен24%
Победа за госта42%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ягиелония Бялисток 2Вигри Сувалки
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
35% / 24% / 42%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Двоен шанс1276.4%1.31
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.6 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ягиелония Бялисток 2 win35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Равен24%4.173.9023.2%+0.8 pp
Вигри Сувалки win42%2.382.1542%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ягиелония Бялисток 21.16

Домакин share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Вигри Сувалки1.23

Гост share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ягиелония Бялисток 2

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Вигри Сувалки

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.16
Expected goals
1.23
Ягиелония Бялисток 2Вигри Сувалки
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ягиелония Бялисток 2 signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вигри Сувалки signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ягиелония Бялисток 2 vs Вигри Сувалки FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ягиелония Бялисток 2 печеливш 35%,Равен 24%,Вигри Сувалки печеливш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под