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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw23%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 23% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Double chance1276.5%1.31
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWigry Suwalki winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jagiellonia Bialystok II win31%3.232.9031%0.0 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Wigry Suwalki win45%2.221.9546%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.16

Home share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Wigry Suwalki1.23

Away share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wigry Suwalki

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.16
Expected goals
1.23
Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Bialystok II signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigry Suwalki signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Bialystok II win 31%,Draw 23%,Wigry Suwalki win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under