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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw23%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Double chance1277%1.30
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Olimpia Elblag win45%2.22
Draw23%4.35
Polonia Lidzbark win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olimpia Elblag1.77

Home share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Polonia Lidzbark1.45

Away share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Olimpia Elblag

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Polonia Lidzbark

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.77
Expected goals
1.45
Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olimpia Elblag signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Lidzbark signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olimpia Elblag win 45%,Draw 23%,Polonia Lidzbark win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over