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POL Pologne - III Liga · Match ·

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile45%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Expected goals3.22Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
45% / 23% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Double chance1277%1.30
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Olimpia Elblag win45%2.22
Nul23%4.35
Polonia Lidzbark win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olimpia Elblag1.77

Domicile share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.22Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Polonia Lidzbark1.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Olimpia Elblag

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Polonia Lidzbark

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.77
Expected goals
1.45
Olimpia ElblagPolonia Lidzbark
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olimpia Elblag signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Lidzbark signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Olimpia Elblag vs Polonia Lidzbark FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olimpia Elblag victoire 45%,Nul 23%,Polonia Lidzbark victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de