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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți39%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 24% / 39%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Șansă dublă1276%1.32
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapJagiellonia Bialystok II winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jagiellonia Bialystok II win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp
Egal24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Wigry Suwalki win39%2.562.3039%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.16

Gazde share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

Wigry Suwalki1.23

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Wigry Suwalki

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
39%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.16
Expected goals
1.23
Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Bialystok II signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigry Suwalki signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Bialystok II câștig 37%,Egal 24%,Wigry Suwalki câștig 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub