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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Pelikan Lowicz

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți33%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mlawianka MlawaPelikan Lowicz
Expected goals3.21Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 24% / 33%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Șansă dublă1275.9%1.32
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mlawianka Mlawa win43%2.332.1042.6%
Egal24%4.173.7024.2%
Pelikan Lowicz win33%3.032.7033.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mlawianka Mlawa1.73

Gazde share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals3.21Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Pelikan Lowicz1.48

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Mlawianka Mlawa

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Pelikan Lowicz

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.73
Expected goals
1.48
Mlawianka MlawaPelikan Lowicz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mlawianka Mlawa signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pelikan Lowicz signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Pelikan Lowicz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mlawianka Mlawa câștig 43%,Egal 24%,Pelikan Lowicz câștig 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste