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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

Polonia Środa Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Środa WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 23% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (16.5%)Doppelte Chance1X83.5%1.20
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Polonia Środa Wlkp win60%1.67
Unentschieden23%4.35
Victoria Wrzesnia win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Środa Wlkp2.33

Heim share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Polonia Środa Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Środa WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Środa Wlkp signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Środa Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Środa Wlkp Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 23%,Victoria Wrzesnia Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über