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POL Poland III Liga · Kamp ·

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier59%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier18%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Expected goals3.25Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
59% / 23% / 18%KampresultatHjemmeseier59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stilon Gorzow win (18.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X81.7%1.22
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nei 37%Begge lag scorerJa63%1.59
3.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Katowice win59%1.691.4860.5%
Uavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%
Stilon Gorzow win18%5.565.2517.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Katowice2.03

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals3.25Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Stilon Gorzow1.22

Borte share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nei 37%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sparta Katowice

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Stilon Gorzow

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
11
2.03
Expected goals
1.22
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Katowice signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stilon Gorzow signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Katowice vunnet 59%,Uavgjort 23%,Stilon Gorzow vunnet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over