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POL Polen - III Liga · Match ·

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger59%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger18%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Expected goals3.25Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
59% / 23% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Stilon Gorzow win (18.3%)Dubbelchans1X81.7%1.22
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Båda lagen gör målJa63%1.59
3.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Katowice win59%1.691.4860.5%
Oavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%
Stilon Gorzow win18%5.565.2517.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Katowice2.03

Hemma share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals3.25Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Stilon Gorzow1.22

Borta share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sparta Katowice

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Stilon Gorzow

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
11
2.03
Expected goals
1.22
Sparta KatowiceStilon Gorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Katowice signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stilon Gorzow signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Katowice vunnen 59%,Oavgjort 23%,Stilon Gorzow vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över