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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Fixture ·

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw27%
Away win42%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Widzew LodzLech Poznan
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 27% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.40 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapLech Poznan winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Widzew Lodz win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Lech Poznan win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Widzew Lodz1.10

Home share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Lech Poznan1.30

Away share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Widzew Lodz

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
15
1.10
Expected goals
1.30
Widzew LodzLech Poznan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Widzew Lodz signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lech Poznan signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Widzew Lodz win 31%,Draw 27%,Lech Poznan win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under