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Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.40 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger42%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Widzew LodzLech Poznan
Expected goals2.40Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 27% / 42%MatchresultatBortaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dubbelchans1273%1.37
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.40 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapLech Poznan winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Widzew Lodz win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Lech Poznan win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Widzew Lodz1.10

Hemma share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.40Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

Lech Poznan1.30

Borta share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Widzew Lodz

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
15
1.10
Expected goals
1.30
Widzew LodzLech Poznan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Widzew Lodz signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lech Poznan signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Widzew Lodz vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 27%,Lech Poznan vunnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.40 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under