MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
SWE Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Fixture ·

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw21%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 21% / 18%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Karlshamn win (17.6%)Double chance1X82.4%1.21
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oskarshamns AIK win61%1.641.4860.7%+0.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
IFK Karlshamn win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oskarshamns AIK2.26

Home share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

IFK Karlshamn0.96

Away share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Oskarshamns AIK

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

IFK Karlshamn

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.26
Expected goals
0.96
Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oskarshamns AIK signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Karlshamn signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oskarshamns AIK win 61%,Draw 21%,IFK Karlshamn win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over