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SWE Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Fixture ·

Nosaby vs Linero IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw24%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–2NosabyLinero IF
Expected goals4.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 24% / 34%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 76% · No 24%Both teams scoreYes76%1.32
4.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapNosaby winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nosaby win42%2.382.2040.7%+1.3 pp
Draw24%4.173.6024.9%-0.9 pp
Linero IF win34%2.942.6034.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nosaby2.42

Home share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals4.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%

Linero IF1.80

Away share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 76% · No 24%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nosaby

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Linero IF

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.42
Expected goals
1.80
NosabyLinero IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nosaby signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Linero IF signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Nosaby vs Linero IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nosaby win 42%,Draw 24%,Linero IF win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.22 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over