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SWE Zweden - Division 2 Södra Götaland · Wedstrijd ·

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst61%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst18%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Expected goals3.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
61% / 21% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Karlshamn win (17.7%)Dubbele Kans1X82.3%1.22
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oskarshamns AIK win61%1.641.4860.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
IFK Karlshamn win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oskarshamns AIK2.26

Thuis share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals3.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

IFK Karlshamn0.96

Uit share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Oskarshamns AIK

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

IFK Karlshamn

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.26
Expected goals
0.96
Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oskarshamns AIK signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Karlshamn signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oskarshamns AIK gewonnen 61%,Gelijkspel 21%,IFK Karlshamn gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven