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SWE Sverige - Div 2 Södra Götaland · Match ·

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger61%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Expected goals3.22Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
61% / 21% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Karlshamn win (17.6%)Dubbelchans1X82.4%1.21
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oskarshamns AIK win61%1.641.4860.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
IFK Karlshamn win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oskarshamns AIK2.26

Hemma share of expected goals 70.2%

Total expected goals3.22Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

IFK Karlshamn0.96

Borta share of expected goals 29.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Oskarshamns AIK

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IFK Karlshamn

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.26
Expected goals
0.96
Oskarshamns AIKIFK Karlshamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oskarshamns AIK signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Karlshamn signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Oskarshamns AIK vs IFK Karlshamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oskarshamns AIK vunnen 61%,Oavgjort 21%,IFK Karlshamn vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över