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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Fixture ·

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Away form
Home win65%
Draw20%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Expected goals3.40Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 20% / 15%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Karlstad II win (14.9%)Double chance1X85.1%1.18
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.40 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAhlafors IF winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ahlafors IF win65%1.541.3665.4%-0.4 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
IF Karlstad II win15%6.676.0014.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ahlafors IF2.32

Home share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals3.40Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

IF Karlstad II1.08

Away share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad II

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.32
Expected goals
1.08
Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ahlafors IF signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad II signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ahlafors IF win 65%,Draw 20%,IF Karlstad II win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over