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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Fixture ·

Skara vs Vanersborgs FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw20%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score3–1SkaraVanersborgs FK
Expected goals3.48Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 20% / 19%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vanersborgs FK win (19.1%)Double chance1X80.9%1.24
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.48 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSkara winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Skara win61%1.641.5060%+1.0 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Vanersborgs FK win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skara2.58

Home share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals3.48Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Vanersborgs FK0.90

Away share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Skara

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vanersborgs FK

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
11
Points from supplied form
0
2.58
Expected goals
0.90
SkaraVanersborgs FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skara signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vanersborgs FK signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Skara vs Vanersborgs FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skara win 61%,Draw 20%,Vanersborgs FK win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over