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SWE Svezia - 2ª Divisione Norra Götaland · Partita ·

Skara vs Vanersborgs FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.48 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa61%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa61% selection probability
Projected score3–1SkaraVanersborgs FK
Expected goals3.48Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 20% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vanersborgs FK win (19.1%)Doppia Chance1X80.9%1.24
Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%Goals 2.5Sopra67%1.49
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
3.48 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSkara winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Skara win61%1.641.5060%+1.0 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Vanersborgs FK win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Skara2.58

Casa share of expected goals 74.1%

Total expected goals3.48Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%

Vanersborgs FK0.90

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Skara

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Vanersborgs FK

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
11
Points from supplied form
0
2.58
Expected goals
0.90
SkaraVanersborgs FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Skara signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vanersborgs FK signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Skara vs Vanersborgs FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Skara vinta 61%,Pareggio 20%,Vanersborgs FK vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Sopra 2.5 67% · Current selection Sopra