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SWE Sverige - Div 2 Norra Götaland · Match ·

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger65%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Expected goals3.40Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
65% / 20% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Karlstad II win (14.9%)Dubbelchans1X85.1%1.18
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.40 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAhlafors IF winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ahlafors IF win65%1.541.3665.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
IF Karlstad II win15%6.676.0014.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ahlafors IF2.32

Hemma share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals3.40Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

IF Karlstad II1.08

Borta share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad II

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.32
Expected goals
1.08
Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ahlafors IF signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ahlafors IF vunnen 65%,Oavgjort 20%,IF Karlstad II vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över