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SWE Zweden - Division 2 Norra Götaland · Wedstrijd ·

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst65%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Expected goals3.40Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
65% / 20% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IF Karlstad II win (14.9%)Dubbele Kans1X85.1%1.18
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.40 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAhlafors IF winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ahlafors IF win65%1.541.3665.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
IF Karlstad II win15%6.676.0014.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ahlafors IF2.32

Thuis share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals3.40Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

IF Karlstad II1.08

Uit share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ahlafors IF

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

IF Karlstad II

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
1
2.32
Expected goals
1.08
Ahlafors IFIF Karlstad II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ahlafors IF signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IF Karlstad II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ahlafors IF gewonnen 65%,Gelijkspel 20%,IF Karlstad II gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven