Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 25% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Carmelita win (23.7%)Double chance1X76.3%1.31
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSanta Ana winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santa Ana win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
AD Carmelita win24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.1%
Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 41.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSanta Ana
WWLWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAD Carmelita
DDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%9
Points from supplied form
61.32
Expected goals
0.95Santa AnaAD Carmelita
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Santa Ana win 51%，Draw 25%，AD Carmelita win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.27 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。