Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Sarchi win (15.4%)Double chance1X84.6%1.18
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
2.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ADR Jicaral win63%1.591.4263.1%-0.1 pp
Draw22%4.554.2021.3%+0.7 pp
AD Sarchi win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.9%
Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 28.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchADR Jicaral
WDLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchAD Sarchi
WDLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
63%
Win probability excluding draw
15%7
Points from supplied form
81.59
Expected goals
0.62ADR JicaralAD Sarchi
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
ADR Jicaral win 63%，Draw 22%，AD Sarchi win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.21 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。