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CRI Costa Rica Segunda · Wedstrijd ·

ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.21 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score2–1ADR JicaralAD Sarchi
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 22% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Sarchi win (15.4%)Dubbele Kans1X84.6%1.18
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
2.21 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ADR Jicaral win63%1.591.4263.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.2021.3%+0.7 pp
AD Sarchi win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ADR Jicaral1.59

Thuis share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

AD Sarchi0.62

Uit share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

ADR Jicaral

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Sarchi

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.59
Expected goals
0.62
ADR JicaralAD Sarchi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ADR Jicaral signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Sarchi signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ADR Jicaral gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 22%,AD Sarchi gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder