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CRI Costa Rica Segunda · Fixture ·

CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Cariari Pococi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw27%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score2–1CS Uruguay de CoronadoCariari Pococi
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCS Uruguay de Coronado winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CS Uruguay de Coronado win43%2.332.1042.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Cariari Pococi win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CS Uruguay de Coronado1.86

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Cariari Pococi1.35

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CS Uruguay de Coronado

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cariari Pococi

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.86
Expected goals
1.35
CS Uruguay de CoronadoCariari Pococi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CS Uruguay de Coronado signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cariari Pococi signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Cariari Pococi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CS Uruguay de Coronado win 43%,Draw 27%,Cariari Pococi win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over