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CRI Costa Rica Segunda · Мач ·

Санта Ана vs АД Кармелита

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен25%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Санта АнаАД Кармелита
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 25% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes АД Кармелита win (23.7%)Двоен шанс1X76.3%1.31
Над 40% · Под 60%Goals 2.5Под60%1.67
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapСанта Ана winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Санта Ана win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Равен25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
АД Кармелита win24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Санта Ана1.32

Домакин share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 40% · Под 60%

АД Кармелита0.95

Гост share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Санта Ана

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

АД Кармелита

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.95
Санта АнаАД Кармелита
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Санта Ана signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АД Кармелита signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Санта Ана vs АД Кармелита FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Санта Ана печеливш 51%,Равен 25%,АД Кармелита печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Над 2.5 40% · Current selection Под