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CRI Costa Rica Segunda · Mecz ·

Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy51%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santa AnaAD Carmelita
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
51% / 25% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Carmelita win (23.7%)Podwójna szansa1X76.3%1.31
Powyżej 40% · Poniżej 60%Goals 2.5Poniżej60%1.67
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSanta Ana winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santa Ana win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Remis25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
AD Carmelita win24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santa Ana1.32

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 40% · Poniżej 60%

AD Carmelita0.95

Goście share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Santa Ana

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

AD Carmelita

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.95
Santa AnaAD Carmelita
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santa Ana signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Carmelita signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santa Ana wygrana 51%,Remis 25%,AD Carmelita wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Powyżej 2.5 40% · Current selection Poniżej