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CRI Costa Rica Segunda · Match ·

Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santa AnaAD Carmelita
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 25% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Carmelita win (23.7%)Dubbelchans1X76.3%1.31
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSanta Ana winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santa Ana win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
AD Carmelita win24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santa Ana1.32

Hemma share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

AD Carmelita0.95

Borta share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Santa Ana

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

AD Carmelita

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
0.95
Santa AnaAD Carmelita
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santa Ana signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Carmelita signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santa Ana vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 25%,AD Carmelita vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under