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URY Uruguay Segunda · Fixture ·

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw30%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RentistasPlaza Colonia
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 30% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapRentistas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rentistas win30%3.332.8830.9%-0.9 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.6%+0.4 pp
Plaza Colonia win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rentistas0.83

Home share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Plaza Colonia1.20

Away share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rentistas

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Plaza Colonia

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
9
0.83
Expected goals
1.20
RentistasPlaza Colonia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rentistas signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Plaza Colonia signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rentistas win 30%,Draw 30%,Plaza Colonia win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under