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URY Uruguay Segunda · Meci ·

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți40%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RentistasPlaza Colonia
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 30% / 40%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Șansă dublă1270.3%1.42
Peste 33% · Sub 67%Goals 2.5Sub67%1.49
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapRentistas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rentistas win30%3.332.8830.9%-0.9 pp
Egal30%3.333.0029.6%+0.4 pp
Plaza Colonia win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rentistas0.83

Gazde share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 33% · Sub 67%

Plaza Colonia1.20

Oaspeți share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Rentistas

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Plaza Colonia

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
9
0.83
Expected goals
1.20
RentistasPlaza Colonia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rentistas signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Plaza Colonia signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rentistas câștig 30%,Egal 30%,Plaza Colonia câștig 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Peste 2.5 33% · Current selection Sub