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URY Uruguay Segunda · Match ·

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.04 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RentistasPlaza Colonia
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 30% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Plus de 33% · Moins de 67%Goals 2.5Moins de67%1.49
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
2.04 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapRentistas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rentistas win30%3.332.8830.9%-0.9 pp
Nul30%3.333.0029.6%+0.4 pp
Plaza Colonia win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rentistas0.83

Domicile share of expected goals 40.7%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 33% · Moins de 67%

Plaza Colonia1.21

Extérieur share of expected goals 59.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Rentistas

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Plaza Colonia

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
9
0.83
Expected goals
1.21
RentistasPlaza Colonia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rentistas signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Plaza Colonia signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rentistas victoire 30%,Nul 30%,Plaza Colonia victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Plus de 2.5 33% · Current selection Moins de