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URY Uruguay Segunda · Match ·

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger30%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger40%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1RentistasPlaza Colonia
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
30% / 30% / 40%MatchresultatBortaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dubbelchans1270.3%1.42
Över 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Ja 40% · Nej 60%Båda lagen gör målNej60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapRentistas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rentistas win30%3.332.8830.9%-0.9 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0029.6%+0.4 pp
Plaza Colonia win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rentistas0.83

Hemma share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 33% · Under 67%

Plaza Colonia1.20

Borta share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nej 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Rentistas

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Plaza Colonia

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
9
0.83
Expected goals
1.20
RentistasPlaza Colonia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rentistas signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Plaza Colonia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rentistas vunnen 30%,Oavgjort 30%,Plaza Colonia vunnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Över 2.5 33% · Current selection Under