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URY Uruguay Segunda · Fixture ·

Club Oriental vs CA Atenas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw29%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Club OrientalCA Atenas
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 29% / 34%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapCA Atenas winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Oriental win37%2.702.4536.3%+0.7 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
CA Atenas win34%2.942.5534.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Oriental1.55

Home share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

CA Atenas1.12

Away share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Oriental

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

CA Atenas

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
1.12
Club OrientalCA Atenas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Oriental signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Atenas signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Club Oriental vs CA Atenas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Oriental win 37%,Draw 29%,CA Atenas win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over