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URY Uruguay Segunda · Fixture ·

CA River Plate vs Huracán FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw28%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CA River PlateHuracán FC
Expected goals3.09Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 28% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA River Plate win39%2.562.3038.8%+0.2 pp
Draw28%3.573.1028.8%-0.8 pp
Huracán FC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA River Plate1.74

Home share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals3.09Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Huracán FC1.35

Away share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA River Plate

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Huracán FC

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
0
1.74
Expected goals
1.35
CA River PlateHuracán FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA River Plate signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Huracán FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CA River Plate vs Huracán FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA River Plate win 39%,Draw 28%,Huracán FC win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over