Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 33% / 31%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ABC win (31%)Double chance1X69%1.45
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.83 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Nacional AM win36%2.78
Draw33%3.03
ABC win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.6%
Total expected goals1.83Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%
Away share of expected goals 46.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional AM
DDLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchABC
WDWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
31%6
Points from supplied form
80.98
Expected goals
0.85Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional AM win 36%，Draw 33%，ABC win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.83 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under。