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BRA Βραζιλία - Σέριε D · Αγώνας ·

Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ) vs ΑΒC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.83 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου36%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ)ΑΒC
Expected goals1.83Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω72% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
36% / 33% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ΑΒC win (31%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X69%1.45
Άνω 28% · Κάτω 72%Goals 2.5Κάτω72%1.39
Ναι 36% · Όχι 64%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι64%1.56
1.83 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ) win36%2.78
Ισοπαλία33%3.03
ΑΒC win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ)0.98

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals1.83Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 28% · Κάτω 72%

ΑΒC0.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 36% · Όχι 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ)

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

ΑΒC

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.85
Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ)ΑΒC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ) signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ΑΒC signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ) vs ΑΒC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νασιονάλ (ΕΡ) νίκη 36%,Ισοπαλία 33%,ΑΒC νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.83 · Άνω 2.5 28% · Current selection Κάτω