Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 26% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Mineiro (W) win (22%)Double chanceX278%1.28
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAtletico Mineiro (W) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Mineiro (W) win22%4.554.2021.2%+0.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Bahia (W) win53%1.891.6753.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.1%
Total expected goals2.82Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 53.9%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAtletico Mineiro (W)
DLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBahia (W)
LWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
22%
Win probability excluding draw
53%4
Points from supplied form
81.30
Expected goals
1.52Atletico Mineiro (W)Bahia (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Atletico Mineiro (W) vs Bahia (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atletico Mineiro (W) win 22%，Draw 26%，Bahia (W) win 53%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。