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INT Brazil Serie A1 Women · Fixture ·

Gremio (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw29%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gremio (W)Cruzeiro (W)
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Double chance1271.5%1.40
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapCruzeiro (W) winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio (W) win32%3.132.8031.8%+0.2 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
Cruzeiro (W) win39%2.562.2539.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gremio (W)1.46

Home share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Cruzeiro (W)1.29

Away share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gremio (W)

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.46
Expected goals
1.29
Gremio (W)Cruzeiro (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gremio (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cruzeiro (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gremio (W) vs Cruzeiro (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gremio (W) win 32%,Draw 29%,Cruzeiro (W) win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over