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INT Brasile - Serie A1 femminile · Partita ·

Atletico Mineiro (F) vs Bahia (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa22%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite53%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Atletico Mineiro (F)Bahia (F)
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
22% / 26% / 53%Esito partitaVittoria ospite53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Mineiro (F) win (22%)Doppia ChanceX278%1.28
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAtletico Mineiro (F) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Mineiro (F) win22%4.554.2021.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Bahia (F) win53%1.891.6753.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Mineiro (F)1.30

Casa share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Bahia (F)1.52

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro (F)

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Bahia (F)

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vinta probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Atletico Mineiro (F)Bahia (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Mineiro (F) signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bahia (F) signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Atletico Mineiro (F) vs Bahia (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Mineiro (F) vinta 22%,Pareggio 26%,Bahia (F) vinta 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra