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INT Brazilië - Serie A1 - Dames · Wedstrijd ·

Atletico Mineiro (D) vs Bahia (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst22%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst53%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Atletico Mineiro (D)Bahia (D)
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
22% / 26% / 53%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Mineiro (D) win (22%)Dubbele KansX278%1.28
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAtletico Mineiro (D) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Mineiro (D) win22%4.554.2021.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Bahia (D) win53%1.891.6753.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Mineiro (D)1.30

Thuis share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Bahia (D)1.52

Uit share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro (D)

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Bahia (D)

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Atletico Mineiro (D)Bahia (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Mineiro (D) signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bahia (D) signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Atletico Mineiro (D) vs Bahia (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Mineiro (D) gewonnen 22%,Gelijkspel 26%,Bahia (D) gewonnen 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven