Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
27% / 28% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviaria (D) win (27.1%)Dubbele KansX272.9%1.37
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapPalmeiras (D) winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferroviaria (D) win27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Palmeiras (D) win45%2.221.9546%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 50.9%
Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%
Uit share of expected goals 49.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchFerroviaria (D)
WDWWD
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPalmeiras (D)
WDWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
27%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%11
Points from supplied form
131.17
Expected goals
1.13Ferroviaria (D)Palmeiras (D)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Ferroviaria (D) vs Palmeiras (D) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ferroviaria (D) gewonnen 27%，Gelijkspel 28%，Palmeiras (D) gewonnen 45%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.30 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder。