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INT Brasilien - Serie A1 - Damer · Match ·

Atletico Mineiro (D) vs Bahia (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger53%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Atletico Mineiro (D)Bahia (D)
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 26% / 53%MatchresultatBortaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Mineiro (D) win (22%)DubbelchansX278%1.28
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAtletico Mineiro (D) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Mineiro (D) win22%4.554.2021.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Bahia (D) win53%1.891.6753.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Mineiro (D)1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

Bahia (D)1.52

Borta share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atletico Mineiro (D)

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Bahia (D)

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Atletico Mineiro (D)Bahia (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Mineiro (D) signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bahia (D) signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Atletico Mineiro (D) vs Bahia (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Mineiro (D) vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 26%,Bahia (D) vunnen 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över