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ESP Spain Segunda · Final ·

Almeria vs Eldense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win65%
Draw21%
Away win14%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlmeriaEldense
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 21% / 14%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eldense win (13.9%)Double chance1X86.1%1.16
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Almeria win65%1.541.4067.5%
Draw21%4.764.7519.9%
Eldense win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almeria1.80

Home share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Eldense0.88

Away share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Almeria

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Eldense

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
AlmeriaEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almeria signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Almeria vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almeria win 65%,Draw 21%,Eldense win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over