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ESP Spanien - Segunda · Final ·

Almería vs Eldense

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg65%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg14%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlmeríaEldense
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
65% / 21% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eldense win (13.9%)Doppelte Chance1X86.1%1.16
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Almería win65%1.541.4067.5%
Unentschieden21%4.764.7519.9%
Eldense win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almería1.80

Heim share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Eldense0.88

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Almería

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Eldense

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
AlmeríaEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almería signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Almería vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almería Gewinn 65%,Unentschieden 21%,Eldense Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über