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ESP Spanje - Segunda División A · Final ·

Almeria vs Eldense

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst65%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst14%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlmeriaEldense
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
65% / 21% / 14%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eldense win (13.9%)Dubbele Kans1X86.1%1.16
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Almeria win65%1.541.4067.5%
Gelijkspel21%4.764.7519.9%
Eldense win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almeria1.80

Thuis share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Eldense0.88

Uit share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Almeria

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Eldense

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
AlmeriaEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almeria signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Almeria vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almeria gewonnen 65%,Gelijkspel 21%,Eldense gewonnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven