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ESP Spagna - Segunda Division · Final ·

Almeria vs Eldense

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–0Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa65%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite14%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlmeriaEldense
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
65% / 21% / 14%Esito partitaVittoria casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eldense win (13.9%)Doppia Chance1X86.1%1.16
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Almeria win65%1.541.4067.5%
Pareggio21%4.764.7519.9%
Eldense win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almeria1.80

Casa share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Eldense0.88

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Almeria

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Eldense

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vinta probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
AlmeriaEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almeria signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Almeria vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almeria vinta 65%,Pareggio 21%,Eldense vinta 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra