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アルメリア vs エルデンセ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利65%
引き分け21%
アウェイ勝利14%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利65% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルメリアエルデンセ
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
65% / 21% / 14%試合結果ホーム勝利65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes エルデンセ win (13.9%)ダブルチャンス1X86.1%1.16
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.68 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルメリア win65%1.541.4067.5%
引き分け21%4.764.7519.9%
エルデンセ win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルメリア1.80

ホーム share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

エルデンセ0.88

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルメリア

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エルデンセ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
勝ち probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
アルメリアエルデンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルメリア signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エルデンセ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

アルメリア vs エルデンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルメリア 勝ち 65%,引き分け 21%,エルデンセ 勝ち 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー