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ESP España - Segunda División · Final ·

Almería vs Eldense

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local65%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante14%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local65% selection probability
Projected score2–1AlmeríaEldense
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
65% / 21% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eldense win (13.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X86.1%1.16
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Almería win65%1.541.4067.5%
Empate21%4.764.7519.9%
Eldense win14%7.147.5012.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Almería1.80

Local share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Eldense0.88

Visitante share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Almería

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Eldense

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.88
AlmeríaEldense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Almería signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eldense signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Almería vs Eldense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Almería ganada 65%,Empate 21%,Eldense ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de